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  "documentTitle": "Global Hydrogen Flows",
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      "text": "We developed three alternative scenarios for the energy transition to explore critical uncertainties and the role of hydrogen trade.",
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      "text": "Self-reliance: Development of local industries and supply chains. Prioritization of local job creation, industrial know-how, and energy security resulting in local production minimums (vs local demand) for all regions: hydrogen (80%), ammonia (80%), synthetic kerosene (50%). Some regions require more expensive offshore wind capacity to fulfill this requirement.",
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      "text": "Delayed transition: The world misses net-zero by 2050. High inflation, slower economic growth, and stalled hydrogen investments result in lower hydrogen demand. Energy policy swings more strongly to energy security and development of domestic production. More countries stick with gas for longer. Biogenic CO2 is not traded due to limited incentives.",
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      "text": "Renewable world: Concerted social push for a renewables-based energy system. Limited investments in new autothermal-reforming (ATR) technology, with low-carbon hydrogen coming only from existing small modular reactor (SMR) facilities. Announced low-carbon hydrogen projects do not materialize. Accelerated renewable scale-up, resulting in a 10% cost reduction of electrolyzers.",
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      "text": "We developed three alternative scenarios for the energy transition to explore critical uncertainties and the role of hydrogen trade. These scenarios focus on a delayed transition because of a failure to reach net-zero emissions, a system based on self-reliance and local supply chains, and a preference for renewable hydrogen.",
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      "text": "1. McKinsey's Global Energy Perspective - Current Trajectory scenario.",
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      "text": "Exhibit 16",
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