{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2",
  "docSlug": "ea7ac8b0cc24375b",
  "documentTitle": "Global Oil Outlook 2040",
  "authorId": "McKinsey",
  "authorName": "McKinsey",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 7,
  "pageCount": 9,
  "prevPage": 6,
  "nextPage": 8,
  "slideType": "data_table",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 6,
  "notes": "The chart uses a stacked bar format for supply components and line graphs for demand scenarios.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "bar_chart_stacked",
    "line_chart",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2/7",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2#slide-7",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "New projects will be needed under an accelerated-energy-transition case, but a 1.5°C pathway will force shut-ins.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-d3be-700b-83e1-d5c5a89e500d",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.7,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.18
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Global liquid supply-and-demand outlook, MMB/d",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bar-stacked",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "acb26048-03c8-4100-aade-ac60678ea578",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.2,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.91
      },
      "kind": "disclaimer",
      "text": "1 Final investment decision",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "c89ad95a-04b8-42d6-9ecc-20014b40cc98",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.06,
        "w": 0.5,
        "x": 0.45,
        "y": 0.18
      },
      "kind": "legend",
      "text": "Reference demand, Accelerated-energy-transition demand, 1.5°C pathway demand, Yet to find production, Discovered pre-FID production, Post-FID production, NGLs and other liquids",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "b2fc1d6f-9766-4c13-a941-cd9245b911a4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "MMb/d: 38 MMb/d",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-d3be-700b-83e1-d904d4016356",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.95
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: Rystad Energy; Energy Insights by McKinsey",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a213cff8-24ee-4fb4-8d51-ad134809a63f",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.08,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.04
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "New projects will be needed under an accelerated-energy-transition case, but a 1.5°C pathway will force shut-ins.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "action-title",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0794918b-9f3a-4e6a-89ea-62b4f44d9cd9",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [
    {
      "metricRaw": "MMb/d",
      "numberRaw": "38 MMb/d",
      "numberKind": "plain",
      "actionTitle": "New projects will be needed under an accelerated-energy-transition case, but a 1.5°C pathway will force shut-ins.",
      "calloutText": "New projects will be needed under an accelerated-energy-transition case, but a 1.5°C pathway will force shut-ins.",
      "numberScale": null,
      "numberValue": 38,
      "metricFamily": "environment",
      "numberCurrency": null
    }
  ],
  "tools": [],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 7,
      "from": 7,
      "beatId": "d08f05f0-b3df-4c21-8c83-87a6c65a2cac",
      "arcName": "The Sparkline",
      "arcSlug": "sparkline",
      "beatName": "Evidence",
      "beatSlug": "evidence",
      "evidence": "The data table provides evidence for the argument",
      "position": 5,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": null,
      "parentBeatSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 7,
      "from": 7,
      "name": "Why Now",
      "slug": "15-why-now",
      "bestFor": "Sales pitches, fundraising, requesting immediate budget approval",
      "matchId": "c52e9123-0b38-4d1c-bec5-9b00e725644e",
      "evidence": "The data table slide mentions the accelerated energy transition case",
      "position": 2,
      "objective": "Why is an accelerated energy transition case relevant now?",
      "structure": "The Context (Trends) -> The Trigger Event -> The Window of Opportunity",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Create temporal urgency by proving that the window of opportunity is opening or closing"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}