{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2",
  "docSlug": "ea7ac8b0cc24375b",
  "documentTitle": "Global Oil Outlook 2040",
  "authorId": "McKinsey",
  "authorName": "McKinsey",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 6,
  "pageCount": 9,
  "prevPage": 5,
  "nextPage": 7,
  "slideType": "market_sizing",
  "function": "size_opportunity",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 12,
  "notes": "The chart uses a waterfall structure to bridge 2020 supply to 2040 supply, isolating the 'unsanctioned projects' requirement.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "waterfall_chart",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2/6",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b639-3b65434904f2#slide-6",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "By 2040, exploration and production companies need to add 38 MMb/d of new crude production from unsanctioned projects.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-d3be-700b-83e1-7239b4380348",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.65,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.18
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Global oil-supply growth 2020-40, MMb/d",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "waterfall",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "6669ddd9-eef6-4372-9330-a9f2308620bc",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.06,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.88
      },
      "kind": "disclaimer",
      "text": "1 This decline is net of in-fill drilling... 2 NGL stands for natural-gas liquids... 3 Other includes onshore conventional... 4 Shale oil includes associated oil...",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "4b555d67-6242-45dd-a82f-b9291e666c63",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.55,
        "x": 0.41,
        "y": 0.19
      },
      "kind": "legend",
      "text": "NGL and other liquids, Other, OPEC Gulf, Shale oil, Oil sands, Deepwater, Shallow water",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "d3e17e92-9d4e-40d3-bf24-ea0468a11993",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "MMb/d: 38",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-d3be-700b-83e1-770183bc2c9d",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.08,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.04
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "By 2040, exploration and production companies need to add 38 MMb/d of new crude production from unsanctioned projects.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "f9d24e9e-5b50-4300-8803-c3998f20fcb4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [
    {
      "metricRaw": "MMb/d",
      "numberRaw": "38",
      "numberKind": "plain",
      "actionTitle": "By 2040, exploration and production companies need to add 38 MMb/d of new crude production from unsanctioned projects.",
      "calloutText": "By 2040, exploration and production companies need to add 38 MMb/d of new crude production from unsanctioned projects.",
      "numberScale": null,
      "numberValue": 38,
      "metricFamily": "environment",
      "numberCurrency": null
    }
  ],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Waterfall chart",
      "slug": "waterfall-chart",
      "agent": null,
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "2504a3b6-3858-4504-a2d8-bfcbacca8802",
      "evidence": "chart/waterfall: Global oil-supply growth 2020-40, MMb/d",
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [
    {
      "name": "waterfall-chart",
      "slug": null,
      "matchId": "ad278be3-4f0b-40b8-aca3-07c6b1760311",
      "evidence": "The slide uses a waterfall chart to bridge 2020 supply to 2040 supply.",
      "confidence": 1
    }
  ],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 6,
      "from": 6,
      "beatId": "1517ed44-ea6b-4382-9043-0bdef6c30b9d",
      "arcName": "The Sparkline",
      "arcSlug": "sparkline",
      "beatName": "Market Sizing",
      "beatSlug": null,
      "evidence": "The market sizing slide provides a key metric",
      "position": 4,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": null,
      "parentBeatSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 6,
      "from": 6,
      "name": "Cost Of Inaction",
      "slug": "27-cost-of-inaction",
      "bestFor": "Urgent budget requests, compliance, risk mitigation",
      "matchId": "138d6dd0-7eec-4b2e-83a3-11f200a2489b",
      "evidence": "The market sizing slide implies the cost of inaction",
      "position": 1,
      "objective": "What are the implications of not adding new crude production?",
      "structure": "The Status Quo -> The Hidden Costs Accumulating -> The Future State of Inaction -> The Tipping Point",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Quantify what happens if the audience does nothing"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}