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  "documentTitle": "Lebanon Economic Vision",
  "authorId": "McKinsey",
  "authorName": "McKinsey",
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  "notes": "The slide uses a 'Focused Approach' tag and includes a specific comparison of housing production capacity between Syria and Lebanon.",
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      "text": "Thus, in all likelihood, Lebanon's reconstruction efforts will not be limited by demand",
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      "text": "Comparison of estimated production capacity, # housing units/year",
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      "kind": "list",
      "text": "1-2 million homes: Damaged or destroyed\n200-300k homes/year: Estimated post-war demand\n100-350 USD bn: Estimated total cost of reconstruction",
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      "text": "Syria's domestic construction capacity will only be able to meet 20-30% of demand\nAnnual supply gap will be at least 100,000 units, which is overwhelmingly larger than Lebanon's total production capacity of ~40,000 units\nE.g. to capture 20% of the supply gap, Lebanon will need to increase its capacity by 50%\nThus, in all likelihood, Lebanon's reconstruction efforts will not be limited by demand",
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      "text": "Reconstruction cost: 100-350 billion USD",
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      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "1 Including natural growth rate of 100,000 homes/year; 2 Based on damage/destruction of cement factories; 3 Not limited to housing\nSource: World Bank, Middle East Initiative, cement factory websites, press search",
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      "text": "The Syrian conflict has destroyed 1-2 million homes, contributing to a total reconstruction cost of 100-350 billion USD",
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