{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ca1-7489-b638-a66a0d3463c0",
  "docSlug": "bccc7ca74c5344e0",
  "documentTitle": "USPS Future Business Model",
  "authorId": "McKinsey",
  "authorName": "McKinsey",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.294,
  "pageNumber": 23,
  "pageCount": 39,
  "prevPage": 22,
  "nextPage": 24,
  "slideType": "financial_analysis",
  "function": "quantify_impact",
  "density": "balanced",
  "nDataPoints": 4,
  "notes": "The chart compares a 'Base Case' scenario with a 'Management Action' scenario, highlighting the delta in both annual and cumulative losses.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "area_chart",
    "callout_box"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b638-a66a0d3463c0/23",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b638-a66a0d3463c0",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b638-a66a0d3463c0.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b638-a66a0d3463c0#slide-23",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.18,
        "w": 0.32,
        "x": 0.64,
        "y": 0.43
      },
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Actions within Postal Service control reduce the 2020 annual loss to $15 billion, and the cumulative loss to $115 billion",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "f1e19042-da69-471b-94b4-7fb69b5634ac",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.65,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.2
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Net income $ Billions chart showing actual vs forecast",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "area",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "1f51e14a-8a34-4843-b29d-41a5065e3b7e",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.06,
        "y": 0.07
      },
      "kind": "legend",
      "text": "Actions within Postal Service control",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "883b2981-cecf-403c-a744-241b322e26ce",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Net income: $115B",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-d3be-700b-83cb-2dbec86212f2",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.12,
        "w": 0.32,
        "x": 0.64,
        "y": 0.68
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Base Case with no additional efficiency or revenue initiatives will lead to a $33B shortfall in 2020, and cumulative losses of $238 billion",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "de31ac95-24ef-4474-8052-054764307dcf",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.04,
        "w": 0.75,
        "x": 0.06,
        "y": 0.11
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "USPS can pursue actions within its control to reduce the FY2020 gap",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "b184a4f3-9251-4d47-bdf1-7963fe8c8eb2",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [
    {
      "metricRaw": "Net income",
      "numberRaw": "$115B",
      "numberKind": "money",
      "actionTitle": "USPS can pursue actions within its control to reduce the FY2020 gap",
      "calloutText": "Actions within Postal Service control reduce the 2020 annual loss to $15 billion, and the cumulative loss to $115 billion",
      "numberScale": "b",
      "numberValue": 115,
      "metricFamily": "margin_return",
      "numberCurrency": "$"
    }
  ],
  "tools": [],
  "frameworks": [
    {
      "name": "waterfall-bridge",
      "slug": null,
      "matchId": "309cda68-a301-4341-9f51-542c8fe99cee",
      "evidence": "The chart uses an area-based visual to show the delta between two financial scenarios.",
      "confidence": 0.8
    }
  ],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 38,
      "from": 22,
      "beatId": "6d80f5a5-15f2-424b-aae4-9524e06b6575",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Solution & Approach",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-solution-approach",
      "evidence": "The deck presents potential solutions, including actions within USPS control and fundamental changes to increase flexibility.",
      "position": 3,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Turn",
      "parentBeatSlug": "turn"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 28,
      "from": 19,
      "name": "Cost Of Inaction",
      "slug": "27-cost-of-inaction",
      "bestFor": "Urgent budget requests, compliance, risk mitigation",
      "matchId": "6e74d38d-2ea0-494f-aaea-19fe8eb14848",
      "evidence": "The deck presents a scenario analysis of the financial outlook for the Postal Service, highlighting the consequences of inaction.",
      "position": 0,
      "objective": "Highlight the consequences of inaction",
      "structure": "The Status Quo -> The Hidden Costs Accumulating -> The Future State of Inaction -> The Tipping Point",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Quantify what happens if the audience does nothing"
    },
    {
      "to": 36,
      "from": 22,
      "name": "Mece Breakdown",
      "slug": "40-mece-breakdown",
      "bestFor": "Problem structuring, ensuring completeness, strategic analysis",
      "matchId": "ebe3a496-98eb-48eb-b1e4-b2b90b2d3590",
      "evidence": "The deck presents a framework for addressing the challenge, including product and service initiatives, pricing opportunities, and workforce opportunities.",
      "position": 1,
      "objective": "Break down the problem into manageable parts",
      "structure": "The Whole -> Category A (distinct) -> Category B (distinct) -> Category C (distinct) -> Complete Coverage",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Divide a complex topic into mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive categories"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}