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      "text": "Since the availability of waste oil feedstocks is highly constrained, the global supply cap (30 Mt) is projected to be reached in the late 2020s, unless purposely-grown volumes of low ILUC cover crops are rapidly scaled.",
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      "text": "Sustainable fuel demand (Mt): 400 Mt",
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      "text": "Sustainable fuel demand is projected to increase rapidly in the 2020–30s, driven primarily by demand growth in the road transport market. After 2035, however, the projected increase in EV penetration of the transport market may cause a decline in the use of ICE vehicles and a corresponding decline of liquid fuels, and thus sustainable fuels, in road transport. On the other hand, increasing mandates in aviation could outweigh the decline, resulting in further growth of the total demand for sustainable fuels, reaching almost 400 Mt by 2050 in the Further Acceleration scenario. However, since the availability of waste oil feedstocks is highly constrained, the global supply cap (30 Mt) is projected to be reached in the late 2020s, unless purposely-grown volumes of low ILUC/cover crops are rapidly scaled. Indeed, meeting the growing demand for sustainable fuels will require significant growth in the use of other feedstocks beyond oils and sugars, including RFNBO (CO2 and H2 for synthetic fuels) and lignocellulosic.",
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      "text": "Source: McKinsey Energy Insights Global Energy Perspective 2022; Renewable Energy Directive II (2018/2001/EU)",
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