{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65",
  "docSlug": "47b3eb1be6592471",
  "documentTitle": "Global Restart Key Dynamics COVID-19",
  "authorId": "BCG",
  "authorName": "BCG",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 7,
  "pageCount": 39,
  "prevPage": 6,
  "nextPage": 8,
  "slideType": "situation_overview",
  "function": "establish_context",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 3,
  "notes": "The slide uses a three-column layout to present key metrics and qualitative observations.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "big_number",
    "paragraph",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65/7",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65#slide-7",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Europe is the only continent where daily new cases are declining in July as compared to June.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-acb8-762a-a733-9ed12de4ff34",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.3
      },
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "1.5X cases in June",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "big-number",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0faa8f46-e953-4f5f-873f-e446c067068d",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.3
      },
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "30% cases from new hotspots",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "big-number",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "69078364-9a04-45e4-8746-227c448075ae",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Daily case growth: 1.5X",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-acb8-762a-a733-a2c8aa808708",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.65,
        "y": 0.3
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Localized",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "282cd602-3fc8-41f9-8690-ff707db52aa9",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.15,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.15
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "As of 17 July 2020",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "825eceb0-75be-4fcf-96d7-623cebe33703",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.9,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.9
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "1. Monthly average of daily new cases; In July average is taken till July 17; 2. Recent US cases refer to June to mid-July period; new hotspots defined as top 5 US states by daily cases / M inhabitants in June until mid-July; old hotspots defined accordingly for April period. Sources: JHU CSSE; Our World in Data; Press search; BCG",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "09471434-eada-4b3c-a496-58fb5433ab04",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.7,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.03
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "COVID-19 epidemic continues to progress globally while disease hotspots are changing and lockdown strategies are evolving",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "c835770a-54f6-4c06-b6dd-2c6bd6c7a7fc",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [
    {
      "metricRaw": "Daily case growth",
      "numberRaw": "1.5X",
      "numberKind": "multiplier",
      "actionTitle": "COVID-19 epidemic continues to progress globally while disease hotspots are changing and lockdown strategies are evolving",
      "calloutText": "Europe is the only continent where daily new cases are declining in July as compared to June.",
      "numberScale": null,
      "numberValue": 1.5,
      "metricFamily": "growth_rate",
      "numberCurrency": null
    }
  ],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Inductive Reasoning",
      "slug": "inductive-reasoning",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "loop",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a69-eb8d591371cb",
      "evidence": "First slide of evidence-stacking loop on global disease progression.",
      "confidence": 70
    },
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a69-e05f46e0e083",
      "evidence": "Title states 'epidemic continues to progress globally' — insight.",
      "confidence": 80
    },
    {
      "name": "Annotation",
      "slug": "annotation",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a69-e6bf4cabadf9",
      "evidence": "Callout highlights 'Europe is the only continent where daily new cases are declining'.",
      "confidence": 65
    },
    {
      "name": "Chart Selection Guide",
      "slug": "chart-selection-guide",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "90237c12-2f5b-4950-806a-309c5867b89a",
      "evidence": "chart/area-stacked: Daily new cases (7-day rolling average)",
      "confidence": 0.5
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 13,
      "from": 7,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87dc-8f78a172276b",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
      "evidence": "Disease still progressing globally, hotspots shifting, lockdowns evolving.",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 88,
      "parentBeatName": "Complication",
      "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
    },
    {
      "to": 13,
      "from": 3,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87dc-9f59be6a7bb3",
      "arcName": "The Transformation Tale",
      "arcSlug": "transformation-tale",
      "beatName": "Current Reality (Pain)",
      "beatSlug": "transformation-tale-current-reality-pain",
      "evidence": "Flatten phase: pandemic, recession, lockdowns.",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 60,
      "parentBeatName": "Complication",
      "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 13,
      "from": 7,
      "name": "Segmentation Split",
      "slug": "34-segmentation-split",
      "bestFor": "Customer analysis, market research, resource allocation",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-088b-72c8-b7e4-3217901cebe1",
      "evidence": "P9 explicit 'De-averaged view' table; p10 hotspot shifts; p11-12 lockdown effect by country; p13 localized lockdown timeline.",
      "position": 1,
      "objective": "De-averaged view of how disease progression and lockdowns differ across countries",
      "structure": "The Aggregate View -> Segment A Behavior -> Segment B Behavior -> The Insight in the Difference",
      "confidence": 80,
      "description": "Divide a whole into meaningful segments to reveal hidden patterns"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}