{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65",
  "docSlug": "47b3eb1be6592471",
  "documentTitle": "Global Restart Key Dynamics COVID-19",
  "authorId": "BCG",
  "authorName": "BCG",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 16,
  "pageCount": 39,
  "prevPage": 15,
  "nextPage": 17,
  "slideType": "data_table",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 3,
  "notes": "The slide uses R-squared values to quantify the strength of correlations across three different metrics.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "scatter_plot",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65/16",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-ff658db7ef65#slide-16",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Consumer spending decreases as local cases increase; More affluent likely to stay home, driving decline in spending; Spending not correlated with government restrictiveness.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-acb8-762a-a733-68c734806ac7",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.5,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "More affluent likely to stay home, driving decline in spending",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "scatter",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "02e8cff0-a3b7-4eeb-b7c6-590ab9712520",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.5,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Consumer spending decreases as local cases increase",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "scatter",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "03d0b7c4-cebd-4105-be11-47aa5c447f81",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.5,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.65,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Spending not correlated with government restrictiveness",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "scatter",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "ea13fadf-5db3-4860-ae58-9e076c62646a",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.7,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.85
      },
      "kind": "disclaimer",
      "text": "1. Based on data from April 1 to April 14, 2020; 2. Based on data from March 25 to April 14, 2020; 3. Based on data from June 26, 2020; 4. Composite score of restrictions includes, e.g., requirement to wear a mask in public, travel restrictions, large gathering restrictions. Sources: Anity Solutions; Google LLC “Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports”. https://www.google.com/covid19/mobility/ Accessed: June 26, 2020; Chetty, Raj, et al; Opportunity Insights; New York Times, The COVID Tracking Project; CDC; WalletHub; BCG",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "9e6e0240-a0d9-4ef4-996f-25e83628e90e",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Change in consumer spending",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-acb8-762a-a733-6da168ab894b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.9,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.05
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Defeating virus is critical to economic recovery | Strong correlation between local infection level and consumer spending; limited correl. with govt. restrictiveness",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "88851833-5c7f-4c19-8ac1-49d44c44abb2",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Aha! Moment",
      "slug": "aha-moment",
      "agent": "Storyteller",
      "layer": "loop",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a6a-670be97a9eff",
      "evidence": "First page of loop where R-squared 0.03 reveals counter-intuitive truth.",
      "confidence": 75
    },
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a6a-56bccc1a00f6",
      "evidence": "Title delivers the insight: 'Defeating virus is critical to economic recovery'.",
      "confidence": 88
    },
    {
      "name": "Annotation",
      "slug": "annotation",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a6a-5f5ccae20c9c",
      "evidence": "R-squared values (0.7, 0.9, 0.8, 0.03) labelled on each chart.",
      "confidence": 85
    },
    {
      "name": "Contrast Principle",
      "slug": "contrast-principle",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a6a-60e2152e8e39",
      "evidence": "Strong R-squared 0.7-0.9 vs weak 0.03 makes the disjunctive insight pop.",
      "confidence": 80
    },
    {
      "name": "Small Multiples",
      "slug": "small-multiples",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a6a-5839859534f6",
      "evidence": "Three parallel scatter panels with same Y-axis logic.",
      "confidence": 88
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 16,
      "from": 14,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87dc-932013eb2f26",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Solution & Approach",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-solution-approach",
      "evidence": "5 government actions + framing that defeating virus is the path to recovery.",
      "position": 3,
      "confidence": 88,
      "parentBeatName": "Turn",
      "parentBeatSlug": "turn"
    },
    {
      "to": 26,
      "from": 14,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87dc-a61e887dbd75",
      "arcName": "The Transformation Tale",
      "arcSlug": "transformation-tale",
      "beatName": "The Bridge",
      "beatSlug": "transformation-tale-the-bridge",
      "evidence": "Fight phase: government actions and de-averaged sector recovery as the bridge.",
      "position": 3,
      "confidence": 60,
      "parentBeatName": "Resolution",
      "parentBeatSlug": "resolution"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 16,
      "from": 15,
      "name": "Aha Moment",
      "slug": "03-aha-moment",
      "bestFor": "Data-heavy sections, research findings, analytical arguments",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-088b-72c8-b7e4-35d957031ba7",
      "evidence": "Three correlation panels on p16 reveal R-squared 0.7 with cases vs 0.03 with restrictiveness — surprising insight.",
      "position": 2,
      "objective": "Show that defeating the virus, not government restrictiveness, drives consumer spending",
      "structure": "The Problem/Question -> What the Data Shows -> The Insight",
      "confidence": 78,
      "description": "Establish a tension, present data, then deliver the insight that changes everything"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}