{ "docId": "019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-d42adb9ada21", "docSlug": "f48d45408c26f5a2", "documentTitle": "Loose dogs in Dallas Strategic Recommendations", "authorId": "BCG", "authorName": "BCG", "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck", "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck", "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting", "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting", "presentationDate": null, "orientation": "portrait", "aspectRatio": 0.773, "pageNumber": 75, "pageCount": 406, "prevPage": 74, "nextPage": 76, "slideType": "diagnosis", "function": "diagnose", "density": "overcrowded", "nDataPoints": 10, "notes": "The slide uses a narrative structure to explain the methodology of data validation and the findings of increasing dog bite trends.", "elementsJson": [ "paragraph", "bullet_list" ], "metadataConfidence": 0.95, "imagePath": null, "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-d42adb9ada21/75", "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-d42adb9ada21", "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-d42adb9ada21.json", "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-d42adb9ada21#slide-75", "components": [ { "bbox": null, "kind": "callout", "text": "This analysis revealed that dog bites have increased between 2013 and 2015 at an annualized rate of 15%, and bites by loose dogs are growing faster at an annualized rate of 23%.", "attrs": null, "subkind": null, "toolName": "Visual emphasis", "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis", "confidence": null, "componentId": "019dd951-b488-7644-a95c-5858a60aa41a", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.78, "x": 0.11, "y": 0.49 }, "kind": "list", "text": "Dog bites, and specifically dog bites by loose dogs, have been covered in the local Dallas news during the summer of 2016, with headlines such as: 'Dallas's Stray Dog Problem Gets Worse After Woman's Death'; 'Dallas Postal Workers Worried about Increase in Loose Dog Attacks'", "attrs": null, "subkind": "bullet", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "fe82077a-4e72-4b25-9fc0-7e3a3097d46d", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": null, "kind": "metric", "text": "annualized growth rate of dog bites: 23%", "attrs": null, "subkind": "primary", "toolName": "Quantification", "toolSlug": "quantification", "confidence": null, "componentId": "019dd951-b488-7644-a95c-5e516e30f088", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.3, "w": 0.78, "x": 0.11, "y": 0.59 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "To separate headlines from actual trends, BCG evaluated calls to both 311 and 911 for dog attacks to determine whether these calls have increased over the last three years. While these data sources suggested an increase in bites, the data was found to be unreliable given substantial changes to reporting systems and taxonomy. Instead of relying upon these indicators of public safety levels, BCG analyzed DAS bite records, as they provide the official record for the Texas Department of State Health Services on all animal bites in the city of Dallas. Historically, DAS bite records have been captured and recorded on physical paper cards. While DAS has begun the transition to digitize this data, BCG manually entered data of ~5,000 historical bite reports to understand the recent trajectory. This analysis revealed that dog bites have increased between 2013 and 2015 at an annualized rate of 15%, and bites by loose dogs are growing faster at an annualized rate of 23%.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "5c60a8d3-dedc-4200-a0b6-090521ec04b5", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.2, "w": 0.78, "x": 0.11, "y": 0.26 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "National trends: The CDC has estimated that ~885,000 dog bites requiring medical care occur every year in the US. Other national research suggests that ~70% dog bites in the US can be attributed to intact male dogs, and the overwhelming majority of these dogs have an owner (88%). Furthermore, stray or loose dogs are responsible for 35-45% of dog bites in the US while the rest can be attributed to known dogs in a confined setting. Finally, victims of dog bites are likely to be the most vulnerable members of the community, either the very young (38%) or the elderly (30%).", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "b7d87f4e-a023-43bb-b6d5-a176c12ed215", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.78, "x": 0.11, "y": 0.15 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "A second, independent effort conducted by the Southern Dallas Animal Initiative during the same period, estimated ~7,100 loose dogs in southern Dallas based on a reported 428 loose dog observations along 525 miles of road.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "f68bbb17-0d37-493d-a73c-3aa5f0372709", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.78, "x": 0.11, "y": 0.11 }, "kind": "title", "text": "BCG Strategic Recommendations to Improve Public Safety and Animal Welfare in Dallas | 2016", "attrs": null, "subkind": "headline", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "0ac0def1-8daa-47af-98e7-ec46502fe614", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.25, "x": 0.11, "y": 0.22 }, "kind": "title", "text": "Dog-related public safety", "attrs": null, "subkind": "subtitle", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "0622a27a-1316-4d46-8192-9d2a74f08d31", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.12, "x": 0.11, "y": 0.46 }, "kind": "title", "text": "Dallas trends", "attrs": null, "subkind": "subtitle", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "35b11c73-dd1d-42d9-9754-d4a4d204cf7f", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null } ], "metrics": [ { "metricRaw": "annualized growth rate of dog bites", "numberRaw": "23%", "numberKind": "percent", "actionTitle": null, "calloutText": "This analysis revealed that dog bites have increased between 2013 and 2015 at an annualized rate of 15%, and bites by loose dogs are growing faster at an annualized rate of 23%.", "numberScale": null, "numberValue": 23, "metricFamily": "growth_rate", "numberCurrency": null } ], "tools": [ { "name": "Problem Statement Canvas", "slug": "problem-statement-canvas", "agent": "Architect", "layer": "slide", "matchId": "b4fff0be-0193-4015-b74d-a23ce1bbde8d", "evidence": "Dog bites, and specifically dog bites by loose dogs, have been covered in the local Dallas news during the summer of 2016, with headlines such as: 'Dallas's Stray Dog Problem Gets Worse After Woman's Death'", "confidence": 0.6 } ], "frameworks": [], "arcBeats": [ { "to": 142, "from": 45, "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87dd-9f808a4e90ee", "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit", "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit", "beatName": "Evidence & Proof", "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-evidence-proof", "evidence": "Deep-dive recommendations, full report exhibits, peer benchmarks, S/N math", "position": 4, "confidence": 92, "parentBeatName": "Evidence", "parentBeatSlug": "evidence" } ], "loops": [ { "to": 77, "from": 75, "name": "Cost Of Inaction", "slug": "27-cost-of-inaction", "bestFor": "Urgent budget requests, compliance, risk mitigation", "matchId": "019dd95a-088b-72c8-b7e5-497877e1b0a4", "evidence": "Ex 8 dog bites up; map of bites in southern Dallas; residents carrying weapons", "position": 14, "objective": "Show bites trend and southern Dallas concentration to motivate action", "structure": "The Status Quo -> The Hidden Costs Accumulating -> The Future State of Inaction -> The Tipping Point", "confidence": 78, "description": "Quantify what happens if the audience does nothing" } ], "imagePathAlt": null, "thumbSrc": null, "thumbSrcAlt": null, "locked": true }