{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-b4f6703d5f80",
  "docSlug": "b87718276d2e8ef8",
  "documentTitle": "US Mail Volumes to 2020",
  "authorId": "BCG",
  "authorName": "BCG",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.294,
  "pageNumber": 3,
  "pageCount": 41,
  "prevPage": 2,
  "nextPage": 4,
  "slideType": "situation_overview",
  "function": "establish_context",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 0,
  "notes": null,
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "paragraph",
    "bullet_list"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-b4f6703d5f80/3",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-b4f6703d5f80",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-b4f6703d5f80.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b634-b4f6703d5f80#slide-3",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "BCG was asked to develop base case projections of mail volumes to 2020",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-acbb-7389-93b5-3ba592f21c53",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.09,
        "y": 0.58
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Interviews, surveys, BCG expertise, benchmarks from other countries, and commercial research",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "c5284aa4-c7e0-4c9d-8f2f-03a0535eb857",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.09,
        "y": 0.37
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "No new revenue or cost savings initiatives beyond those already in the current USPS plan\nNo legislative or regulatory changes\nEconomy returns to historical long-term growth rate in two to three years\nNo major economic or other disruptions",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "e0c4182d-b6f8-4906-8b62-8f12a1a0636b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.6,
        "x": 0.068,
        "y": 0.33
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Base Case is a business-as-usual scenario with the following assumptions",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0e61b1bb-2bc3-47b2-b415-a69fdd9e59cb",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.6,
        "x": 0.068,
        "y": 0.54
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Base Case forecast incorporates extensive, recent independent research",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "bf6951b5-297b-4dee-b17f-21a665d5c602",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.6,
        "x": 0.068,
        "y": 0.265
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "BCG was asked to develop base case projections of mail volumes to 2020",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "c4fe8cb9-1fac-4fc0-84d2-744fb1cfac6b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.068,
        "y": 0.165
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Objectives of BCG's assignment",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "7bbe1b8f-57ff-4fba-88c2-d829fd7891bd",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "SCQA Framework",
      "slug": "scqa-framework",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "block",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1575-7358-9710-7ba5e86ac28a",
      "evidence": "Opens deck by framing situation/complication/question structure",
      "confidence": 70
    },
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1575-7358-9710-746a972cc4f2",
      "evidence": "Callout states the assignment: 'BCG was asked to develop base case projections...'",
      "confidence": 70
    },
    {
      "name": "Core Message Extraction",
      "slug": "core-message-extraction",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1575-7358-9710-7f6f29b2e1ca",
      "evidence": "Distills the entire engagement into a one-sentence assignment statement",
      "confidence": 65
    },
    {
      "name": "List presentation",
      "slug": "list-presentation",
      "agent": null,
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "4b554c25-eb8a-4eb3-96c4-105bd3004209",
      "evidence": "list/bullet: No new revenue or cost savings initiatives beyond those already in the current USPS plan",
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 6,
      "from": 1,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87e3-6469ee183b79",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Situation & Context",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-situation-context",
      "evidence": "Cover, objectives, approach, mail segmentation methodology",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 88,
      "parentBeatName": "Setup",
      "parentBeatSlug": "setup"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 6,
      "from": 3,
      "name": "Mece Breakdown",
      "slug": "40-mece-breakdown",
      "bestFor": "Problem structuring, ensuring completeness, strategic analysis",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-088c-724c-b30f-823083bd233c",
      "evidence": "p5 splits all mail into First-Class vs Standard subcategories; p6 forecasts each segment",
      "position": 1,
      "objective": "Establish methodology by segmenting mail into MECE categories",
      "structure": "The Whole -> Category A (distinct) -> Category B (distinct) -> Category C (distinct) -> Complete Coverage",
      "confidence": 82,
      "description": "Divide a complex topic into mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive categories"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}