{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ca1-7489-b633-32250022bc4e",
  "docSlug": "07cb2674ed07a20d",
  "documentTitle": "January Macro Brief Special edition: 2024 outlook and top 10 macro trends",
  "authorId": "Accenture",
  "authorName": "Accenture",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 12,
  "pageCount": 40,
  "prevPage": 11,
  "nextPage": 13,
  "slideType": "industry_trends",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "overcrowded",
  "nDataPoints": 2,
  "notes": "The slide uses two line charts to correlate macroeconomic inflation trends with specific supply chain cost shocks.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "action_title",
    "subtitle_text",
    "line_chart",
    "callout_box",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b633-32250022bc4e/12",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b633-32250022bc4e",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b633-32250022bc4e.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ca1-7489-b633-32250022bc4e#slide-12",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.53,
        "y": 0.45
      },
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Container shipping rates for key global trade routes have soared, with US and UK air strikes on Yemen stirring fears of a prolonged disruption to global trade in Red Sea, one of the world's busiest shipping routes",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "b17e1196-297d-4e90-8e2a-6227a81bae88",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.15,
        "x": 0.2,
        "y": 0.74
      },
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Disinflationary movement slowed towards the end of 2023 for most advanced economies",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "b2c2404c-f8f0-4bee-8fac-68befbbf01d8",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.65,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.52,
        "y": 0.23
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Impact of Red Sea attacks on freight shipping rates",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "11d43a14-0af5-49fa-ab95-50d8219b8d41",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.65,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.23
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Disinflationary momentum has slowed",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "4fa76a7b-2bf1-46a0-b472-7c05763668db",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.04,
        "x": 0.89,
        "y": 0.55
      },
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "239%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "big-number",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "680530f1-062a-4f2d-bbb8-cca25eb2497c",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.04,
        "x": 0.89,
        "y": 0.78
      },
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "276%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "big-number",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "e6b9cbb9-dc4a-490c-855d-b32c725b3d6a",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Freight container pricing index change (China/East Asia to Mediterranean): 239%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-9f5f-711b-af93-2ce6ad2fff18",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.35,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.95
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source(s): Haver Analytics, Freightos Global freight pricing & market rate",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "486eb6da-4773-4342-b69d-75a50ef57fa9",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.4,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.16
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Moderating disinflation and rising shipping costs",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "action-title",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a7c731ea-a696-4328-911d-6d82fe054e29",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.08,
        "w": 0.94,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.08
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Downside risks for 2024 are already emerging, with recent Red Sea shipping disruptions driving up freight costs and threatening to further slow disinflation momentum",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "bbb1d785-e219-464e-afc4-2b293aca1dfb",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [
    {
      "metricRaw": "Freight container pricing index change (China/East Asia to Mediterranean)",
      "numberRaw": "239%",
      "numberKind": "percent",
      "actionTitle": "Downside risks for 2024 are already emerging, with recent Red Sea shipping disruptions driving up freight costs and threatening to further slow disinflation momentum",
      "calloutText": "Container shipping rates for key global trade routes have soared, with US and UK air strikes on Yemen stirring fears of a prolonged disruption to global trade in Red Sea, one of the world's busiest shipping routes",
      "numberScale": null,
      "numberValue": 239,
      "metricFamily": "index_score",
      "numberCurrency": null
    }
  ],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-0d40-7758-be3e-92f820514d5f",
      "evidence": "Title flags Red Sea disruption as emerging downside risk",
      "confidence": 90
    },
    {
      "name": "Annotation",
      "slug": "annotation",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-0d40-7758-be3e-95acd849dde1",
      "evidence": "239% callout figure dominates with annotation",
      "confidence": 75
    },
    {
      "name": "Contrast Principle",
      "slug": "contrast-principle",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-0d40-7758-be3e-9a3437c93e35",
      "evidence": "Spike in shipping rates highlighted against baseline",
      "confidence": 70
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 17,
      "from": 4,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0680-7418-820c-ac20a70ee510",
      "arcName": "The Triple Take",
      "arcSlug": "triple-take",
      "beatName": "The Facts (What)",
      "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-facts-what",
      "evidence": "Exec summary + economic outlook data with country PMIs, scenarios",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 82,
      "parentBeatName": "Setup",
      "parentBeatSlug": "setup"
    },
    {
      "to": 17,
      "from": 8,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0680-7418-820c-bcf9311edd9b",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
      "evidence": "Sluggish growth, structural forces, scenario risks per region",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 70,
      "parentBeatName": "Complication",
      "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 12,
      "from": 8,
      "name": "Pattern Hunter",
      "slug": "02-pattern-hunter",
      "bestFor": "Time-pressed audiences, building consensus, when data is strong",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-07fe-70ce-8d36-dcb220493c54",
      "evidence": "PMI snapshot, momentum heatmap, cyclical impulses, structural forces, Red Sea risk all aggregate to one conclusion.",
      "position": 2,
      "objective": "Synthesize multiple data points into a coherent state of the global economy",
      "structure": "Evidence A -> Evidence B -> Evidence C -> Pattern/Conclusion",
      "confidence": 78,
      "description": "Group multiple pieces of evidence that together point to a pattern or conclusion"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}