{
  "kind": "framework",
  "value": "scenario-analysis-upside-base-downside-",
  "collectionKey": "slides:framework:scenario-analysis-upside-base-downside-:all-document-kinds:all-producers:all-orientations",
  "filters": {
    "documentKinds": [],
    "sourceTypes": [],
    "orientations": []
  },
  "total": 1,
  "page": 1,
  "pageSize": 24,
  "pageCount": 1,
  "rows": [
    {
      "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb",
      "docSlug": "78bb0ae4454c2778",
      "documentTitle": "Socio-economic case for deepening solar PV deployment in Nigeria",
      "authorId": "BCG",
      "authorName": "BCG",
      "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
      "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
      "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
      "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
      "presentationDate": null,
      "orientation": "landscape",
      "aspectRatio": 1.778,
      "pageNumber": 18,
      "slideType": "market_sizing",
      "function": "size_opportunity",
      "notes": "Uses a three-step methodology to project capacity based on CAGR benchmarks.",
      "imagePath": null,
      "matchCount": 1,
      "evidence": "Three concentric scenarios labeled upside (8.1GW), base (4.7GW), downside (2.1GW)",
      "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb/18",
      "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb",
      "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb#slide-18",
      "loopMatches": [
        {
          "to": 18,
          "from": 17,
          "name": "Benchmark Gap",
          "slug": "39-benchmark-gap",
          "bestFor": "Performance improvement, competitive analysis, target setting",
          "matchId": "019dd95a-088b-72c8-b7e7-8541a3b6d481",
          "evidence": "Nigeria 87% lower than peer average (p17) yields 5-8GW headroom by 2030 (p18)",
          "position": 4,
          "objective": "Quantify the gap = the opportunity",
          "structure": "Our Performance -> Industry Average -> Best-in-Class -> The Gap = The Opportunity",
          "confidence": 85,
          "description": "Compare performance against best-in-class to quantify the opportunity"
        }
      ],
      "arcBeatMatches": [
        {
          "to": 18,
          "from": 11,
          "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87e0-7b54943487b8",
          "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
          "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
          "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
          "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
          "evidence": "Inadequate grid (p11), underpenetration vs peers (p17), 5-8GW gap (p18)",
          "position": 2,
          "confidence": 92,
          "parentBeatName": "Complication",
          "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
        },
        {
          "to": 18,
          "from": 11,
          "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87e0-892d32dc5fc2",
          "arcName": "Problem-Agitate-Solution",
          "arcSlug": "problem-agitate-solution",
          "beatName": "Problem (Identify pain)",
          "beatSlug": "problem-agitate-solution-problem-identify-pain",
          "evidence": "Grid inadequacy and underpenetration framed early",
          "position": 1,
          "confidence": 65,
          "parentBeatName": "Complication",
          "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
        }
      ],
      "imagePathAlt": null,
      "thumbSrc": null,
      "thumbSrcAlt": null,
      "locked": true
    }
  ]
}