{
  "kind": "framework",
  "value": "macro-scenario-analysis",
  "collectionKey": "slides:framework:macro-scenario-analysis:all-document-kinds:all-producers:all-orientations",
  "filters": {
    "documentKinds": [],
    "sourceTypes": [],
    "orientations": []
  },
  "total": 2,
  "page": 1,
  "pageSize": 24,
  "pageCount": 1,
  "rows": [
    {
      "docId": "019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5b-67d8898f8420",
      "docSlug": "dfdec0fb1c1b9a0f",
      "documentTitle": "20230215 Q422 FI Investor Presentation vFFF",
      "authorId": "Barclays",
      "authorName": "Barclays",
      "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
      "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
      "sourceTypeSlug": "equity_research",
      "sourceTypeLabel": "Equity research",
      "presentationDate": null,
      "orientation": "landscape",
      "aspectRatio": 1.445,
      "pageNumber": 20,
      "slideType": "appendix_data",
      "function": "analyze_data",
      "notes": "The slide displays Q4 2022 macroeconomic projections used for financial modeling.",
      "imagePath": null,
      "matchCount": 1,
      "evidence": "Five labelled scenarios (Upside 2 → Downside 2) with probability weights",
      "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5b-67d8898f8420/20",
      "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5b-67d8898f8420",
      "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5b-67d8898f8420#slide-20",
      "loopMatches": [
        {
          "to": 26,
          "from": 19,
          "name": "Scenario Fork",
          "slug": "35-scenario-fork",
          "bestFor": "Strategic planning, risk analysis, board presentations",
          "matchId": "019dd95a-08f7-737a-a002-63c4819ebe9e",
          "evidence": "p.20-21 explicit Upside/Baseline/Downside macro tables; p.22-26 coverage ratios stress-tested.",
          "position": 4,
          "objective": "Demonstrate impairment resilience under upside/baseline/downside scenarios",
          "structure": "The Decision Point -> Scenario A (If X) -> Scenario B (If Y) -> Scenario C (If Z) -> Recommendation",
          "confidence": 80,
          "description": "Present multiple futures based on different assumptions or decisions"
        }
      ],
      "arcBeatMatches": [
        {
          "to": 39,
          "from": 18,
          "beatId": "019dd95a-07a6-74c7-9027-66f53c65fbe1",
          "arcName": "The Triple Take",
          "arcSlug": "triple-take",
          "beatName": "The Implications (So What)",
          "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-implications-so-what",
          "evidence": "Asset quality, capital, balance sheet — why results = credit-worthy",
          "position": 2,
          "confidence": 70,
          "parentBeatName": "Reflection",
          "parentBeatSlug": "reflection"
        },
        {
          "to": 21,
          "from": 19,
          "beatId": "019dd95a-07a6-74c7-9027-73f69a0f20fe",
          "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
          "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
          "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
          "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
          "evidence": "Macro variables and downside scenarios frame the implicit complication",
          "position": 2,
          "confidence": 55,
          "parentBeatName": "Complication",
          "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
        },
        {
          "to": 42,
          "from": 5,
          "beatId": "019dd95a-07a6-74c7-9027-7b4dab9c8b81",
          "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
          "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
          "beatName": "Evidence & Proof",
          "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-evidence-proof",
          "evidence": "Financial deep dive, asset quality, capital, balance sheet, ratings",
          "position": 4,
          "confidence": 55,
          "parentBeatName": "Evidence",
          "parentBeatSlug": "evidence"
        }
      ],
      "imagePathAlt": null,
      "thumbSrc": null,
      "thumbSrcAlt": null,
      "locked": true
    },
    {
      "docId": "019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5b-67d8898f8420",
      "docSlug": "dfdec0fb1c1b9a0f",
      "documentTitle": "20230215 Q422 FI Investor Presentation vFFF",
      "authorId": "Barclays",
      "authorName": "Barclays",
      "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
      "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
      "sourceTypeSlug": "equity_research",
      "sourceTypeLabel": "Equity research",
      "presentationDate": null,
      "orientation": "landscape",
      "aspectRatio": 1.445,
      "pageNumber": 21,
      "slideType": "data_table",
      "function": "analyze_data",
      "notes": "The table displays projections for GDP, unemployment, HPI, and interest rates, with scenario probability weightings at the bottom.",
      "imagePath": null,
      "matchCount": 1,
      "evidence": "Same five-scenario fork repeated with refreshed weights",
      "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5b-67d8898f8420/21",
      "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5b-67d8898f8420",
      "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5b-67d8898f8420#slide-21",
      "loopMatches": [
        {
          "to": 26,
          "from": 19,
          "name": "Scenario Fork",
          "slug": "35-scenario-fork",
          "bestFor": "Strategic planning, risk analysis, board presentations",
          "matchId": "019dd95a-08f7-737a-a002-63c4819ebe9e",
          "evidence": "p.20-21 explicit Upside/Baseline/Downside macro tables; p.22-26 coverage ratios stress-tested.",
          "position": 4,
          "objective": "Demonstrate impairment resilience under upside/baseline/downside scenarios",
          "structure": "The Decision Point -> Scenario A (If X) -> Scenario B (If Y) -> Scenario C (If Z) -> Recommendation",
          "confidence": 80,
          "description": "Present multiple futures based on different assumptions or decisions"
        }
      ],
      "arcBeatMatches": [
        {
          "to": 39,
          "from": 18,
          "beatId": "019dd95a-07a6-74c7-9027-66f53c65fbe1",
          "arcName": "The Triple Take",
          "arcSlug": "triple-take",
          "beatName": "The Implications (So What)",
          "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-implications-so-what",
          "evidence": "Asset quality, capital, balance sheet — why results = credit-worthy",
          "position": 2,
          "confidence": 70,
          "parentBeatName": "Reflection",
          "parentBeatSlug": "reflection"
        },
        {
          "to": 21,
          "from": 19,
          "beatId": "019dd95a-07a6-74c7-9027-73f69a0f20fe",
          "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
          "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
          "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
          "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
          "evidence": "Macro variables and downside scenarios frame the implicit complication",
          "position": 2,
          "confidence": 55,
          "parentBeatName": "Complication",
          "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
        },
        {
          "to": 42,
          "from": 5,
          "beatId": "019dd95a-07a6-74c7-9027-7b4dab9c8b81",
          "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
          "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
          "beatName": "Evidence & Proof",
          "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-evidence-proof",
          "evidence": "Financial deep dive, asset quality, capital, balance sheet, ratings",
          "position": 4,
          "confidence": 55,
          "parentBeatName": "Evidence",
          "parentBeatSlug": "evidence"
        }
      ],
      "imagePathAlt": null,
      "thumbSrc": null,
      "thumbSrcAlt": null,
      "locked": true
    }
  ]
}