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null }, "agent": null, "layer": "slide", "agents": null, "matchId": "d7e460a8-58e8-45c7-aada-96ade548f38c", "evidence": "List of 29 branches with company names and responsible persons", "pageRefs": null, "priority": null, "whenToUse": null, "confidence": 0.9, "extraction": { "at": "2026-07-16 22:58:29.20832+00", "model": "or:meta-llama/llama-4-scout", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "pageNumber": 13, "whyItWorks": null, "antipattern": null, "cardinality": "common", "narrativePurpose": null } ], "frameworks": [ { "matchId": "80c42873-048c-42ac-a285-25f650af37f5", "evidence": "The slide explicitly attempts to expose a contradiction between company claims and external records to suggest fraudulent financial reporting.", "framework": null, "confidence": 0.9, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 20:49:18.701+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "pageNumber": 2, "frameworkName": "fraud-exposure" }, { "matchId": "cd9bb95e-4464-44b3-a7d7-68c606b54a60", "evidence": "The slide explicitly accuses the subject of lying in a material manner to mislead investors.", "framework": null, "confidence": 1, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 20:49:18.018+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "pageNumber": 7, "frameworkName": "fraud-exposure" } ], "patterns": [] }, "storymakers": null, "score": null, "review": null, "activistThesis": { "tone": "adversarial", "notes": "Part III of a multi-part Muddy Waters short report on ANTA Sports (subtitled 'FilaBuster'). Word-processed memo format with embedded SAIC screenshots, a shareholding table and dozens of investigator store photographs — not a designed deck. Builds on Part I's claim that Su Weiqing is a proxy for Chairman Ding. Strong rhetorical use of CFO quote-contradiction and the Fila customer-service hotline recording denying any franchise model. No explicit price target or stake disclosed in this part; standard MW disclaimer assumes a short position. Authored under Carson Block as Director of Research.", "kpisCited": [ { "detail": "Online locator shows 42 Beijing + 56 Hebei Fila stores; SAIC shows ANTA listco owns just 1 in Beijing, 0 in Hebei", "metric": "Fila Beijing stores claimed vs. owned" }, { "detail": "17 registered branches; Su Weiqing owns 97.7%, Su Jianhua 2.3%; ANTA listco owns 0%", "metric": "Stores owned by Ding Dong (Beijing)" }, { "detail": "29 registered branches; Su Weiqing 60%, Su Jianping 40%; ANTA listco owns 0%", "metric": "Stores owned by Beijing Jiyuan Ding Dong" }, { "detail": "28 Beijing Fila stores visited; 11 displayed business licenses, all belonging to Ding Dong entities not ANTA", "metric": "Investigator store visits" } ], "closingAsk": "Investors should conclude ANTA's brand and Fila financials are entirely unreliable and act accordingly.", "extraction": { "at": "2026-04-22 19:36:44+00", "model": "unknown-legacy", "runId": null, "seconds": 92.459435, "promptVersion": null }, "scqaReward": "No explicit price target is disclosed in this part; the implicit reward is avoiding or shorting a stock whose entire growth narrative — Fila — is shown to be built on undisclosed related-party retail and probable fraudulent revenue recognition.", "thesisTypes": [ "fraud_exposure" ], "top3Reasons": [ "Su Weiqing's companies own 46 Beijing Fila stores ANTA claims to own directly", "ANTA either lied that Su is independent or lies about owning all Fila stores", "Fila financials are unreliable — ANTA likely consolidates stores it does not own" ], "scqaSituation": "ANTA Sports is China's largest domestic sportswear group, and its Fila China business is the growth engine the bull case rests on, marketed as a 100%-owned, self-operated retail network with no franchisees.", "thesisSummary": "Muddy Waters' Part III of its ANTA short campaign argues that ANTA's prized Fila China business is not the wholly self-operated retail network management claims. Investigators found that 46 of the Fila stores in Beijing are operated by Ding Dong (Beijing) and Beijing Jiyuan Ding Dong — entities owned by Su Weiqing, whom Part I identified as an insider proxy for Chairman Ding. SAIC filings show the listco directly owns just one Beijing Fila branch, while ANTA's IR, Fila's customer-service hotline and CFO Lai Shixian have all publicly insisted Fila is fully self-operated with no franchise model. The contradiction means either Su is genuinely independent — exploding ANTA's ownership claim — or ANTA has lied about Su, in which case Fila revenue is being fabricated through proxies. Either way, ANTA's reported Fila financials, and by extension its consolidated numbers, cannot be trusted.", "primaryDemands": [], "scqaResolution": "Investors should treat ANTA's Fila ownership claim as a material lie, discount Fila revenue and margins as likely fabricated through related-party stores, and reject the consolidated financials as unreliable.", "thesisOneLiner": "ANTA's 'self-operated' Fila franchise is a fiction: 46 Beijing Fila stores are owned by an insider proxy, exposing fabricated Fila financials and rendering all ANTA numbers unreliable.", "precedentsCited": [ "Blue Orca presentation on Fila anomalies" ], "scqaComplication": "SAIC records and on-the-ground store visits show 46 Beijing Fila stores are owned by Su Weiqing — already exposed in Part I as a proxy for Chairman Ding — directly contradicting management, IR and CFO Lai Shixian's public denials of any wholesale model.", "narrativeInterest": 4, "notableSlidePages": [ 2, 3, 6, 7 ], "peerCompaniesCited": [], "valuationFrameworks": [ "not_shown" ], "visualCraftInterest": 2 }, "pitchdeck": { "metadata": null, "profile": null }, "slides": [ { "page": 1, "type": "setup", "title": "Standard legal disclaimer for an investment research firm.", "function": "other", "imagePath": "https://imgproxy.kitesheet.com/f0RsCe1YGnQdbpdPu2uAgLkhmiV7GxAMpOGSsWYNepk/rs:fit:1200:1200:0/q:82/f:webp/czM6Ly9raXRlc2hlZXQvY29ycHVzL3NsaWRlcy9mMjUxODI5MzE4YjgvcDAwMS5qcGc", "rawType": "disclaimer", "block": null, "metadata": { "slideType": "disclaimer", "slideTypeCanon": { "name": "Disclaimer", "slug": "disclaimer", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52d-0801-727b-b98a-5ed095aeee78", "version": 1, "description": null }, "function": "other", "functionCanon": { "name": "Other (fallback)", "slug": "other", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52d-15e1-75bc-99dc-07732380e2ce", "version": 1, "description": null }, "density": "sparse", "densityScore": 10, "componentCount": 3, "textChars": 337, "nDataPoints": 0, "notes": "Standard legal disclaimer for an investment research firm.", "elementsJson": [ "paragraph" ], "confidence": 1, "extraction": { "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "at": "2026-05-02 20:49:15.275+00", "seconds": 2.632, "promptVersion": "v2-canon-conditioned" } }, "links": { "slide": "/slides/019dd923-622c-750b-8b96-d697881296a6/1", "deck": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b96-d697881296a6", "deckAnchor": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b96-d697881296a6#slide-1", "deckJson": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b96-d697881296a6.json" }, "components": [ { "bbox": { "h": 0.03, "w": 0.9, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.12 }, "kind": "disclaimer", "text": "These Terms of Use govern current reports published by Muddy Waters Research and supersede any prior Terms of Use for older reports of Muddy Waters Research, which you may download from the Muddy Waters Research's website.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Disclaimer", "slug": "disclaimer", "status": "active", "canonId": "91173477-d91f-4024-bbaf-d4f93e3f82dc", "version": 1, "description": "Legal/cautionary text that occupies most of the body of its slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": null, "framework": null }, "subkind": null, "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 20:49:15.275+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "507171a8-701e-4d02-a8b3-d68f6fa8f480", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.75, "w": 0.9, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.16 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The reports on this website have been prepared by Muddy Waters Capital LLC... 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However, SAIC records show that Fila Style (100% owned by ANTA) had only one branch in Beijing in 2018.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 20:49:18.701+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "b4376b8a-f24c-477a-baa9-aa574fcde055", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.1, "w": 0.76, "x": 0.12, "y": 0.84 }, "kind": "source-note", "text": "1. https://www.fila.cn/shop.html 2. Xiamen Fila, Shanghai Fila, and Shanghai Qunli. 3. Ding Dong (Beijing) 鼎动(北京)体育用品有限公司 and Beijing Jiyuan Ding Dong 北京吉元鼎动体育用品有限公司", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Source note", "slug": "source-note", "status": "active", "canonId": "23484952-494b-4a5e-b1ad-550d0d70e948", "version": 1, "description": "Attribution / source / caveat placed at the slide footer. 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