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    "notes": "Presented by Nathan Anderson at the Contrarian Investor Conference on April 20, 2020 — this is the abbreviated conference deck; a fuller written report is referenced at hindenburgresearch.com. The title slide ('Bolivia Looks Friendly Until A Coup Forces Your Friends to Flee to Mexico') is itself a masterclass in SCQA compression. Deck structure is notably clean: 3 labelled parts (Bolivian control risk, management red flags, fundamental overvaluation) + scenario-weighted price target. Dual short thesis (NUPMF + SVM). No stake percentage disclosed (short positions are sized in dollar terms, not %). Valuation anchored to Bear Creek Mining as fair comp at $0.16/oz vs NUAG's $2.55/oz.",
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      {
        "detail": "$45M by New Pacific vs $530K paid by prior Chinese owners — ~85x markup",
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      {
        "detail": "$200K to GoldNewsLetter, $25K/yr to Proactive Canada",
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      {
        "detail": "Estimated 10 years from production",
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    "thesisSummary": "Hindenburg argues New Pacific Metals — a ~C$700M Toronto-listed silver developer whose flagship Silver Sand project sits in Potosi, Bolivia — trades at ~US$2.55 per in-situ silver ounce, roughly 17x the ~US$0.15 peer median, implying 85% downside to a Bear Creek-style valuation. The bull case rests on Bolivian concessions that Hindenburg believes were acquired in violation of Bolivian law under then-Mines Minister Cesar Navarro, who fled to Mexico after Evo Morales' November 2019 ouster; the COMIBOL contract is unratified and local officials doubt it will pass parliament. Management carries further red flags: CEO Rui Feng also chairs Silvercorp (alleged grade-inflator, litigious toward critics like Jon Carnes and Kun Huang), an 'independent' geologist who authored Silver Sand's technical report was a former Silvercorp VP, and prior Chinese projects bought from Silvercorp all failed. Hindenburg is short both NUPMF and SVM with a C$0.37 price target.",
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    "precedentsCited": [
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      "MiMedx suing short-sellers then charged criminally with fraud",
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      "Integra Resources (ITR)",
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