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An average of 63% across the 28 countries polled feel their country needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful. Will autocrats and populists do well in 2024?", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "List", "slug": "list", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-f94b-779b-a53b-fd4904a5f4d2", "version": 1, "description": "Bullet or numbered list." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Numbered list", "slug": "numbered", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fcc0-7718-a284-a4250c805df2", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "numbered", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:07.664+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "285fc3e4-3d5a-4f37-a016-e9f3445764a4", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.4, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.67, "y": 0.48 }, "kind": "list", "text": "#6 Populists want a different government, not a small government. Despite support for anti-establishment politics, an average of 75% of those polled support government spending on healthcare, and 67% support spending on reducing poverty and social inequality. 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Fueling populist sentiment, 58% across the 28 countries polled feel that their country is in decline, and an average of 57% feel their country's society is broken. This is the case in many countries even with good GDP growth.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "List", "slug": "list", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-f94b-779b-a53b-fd4904a5f4d2", "version": 1, "description": "Bullet or numbered list." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Numbered list", "slug": "numbered", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fcc0-7718-a284-a4250c805df2", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "numbered", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:07.664+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "90990c0b-c3d5-4f04-84af-f83d71f8fd45", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.25, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.03, "y": 0.18 }, "kind": "list", "text": "#1 Potential for Populism. Anti-establishment sentiment is up slightly from 2022, with many people in many countries holding these views, reflecting widespread frustration with inequality and slower growth.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "List", "slug": "list", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-f94b-779b-a53b-fd4904a5f4d2", "version": 1, "description": "Bullet or numbered list." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Numbered list", "slug": "numbered", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fcc0-7718-a284-a4250c805df2", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "numbered", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:07.664+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "b8c1c357-6cec-4802-b114-15cd03e6c836", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.25, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.35, "y": 0.48 }, "kind": "list", "text": "#5 Suspicion of elites is widespread globally. 62% of people on average across the 28 countries polled view elites as a closely connected group of people with similar interests and views. 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This year will show what works and what doesn't work for voters.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:06.585+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "84c85093-e4b9-48af-8133-865ee8596b91", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.35 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "By populism, we mean a political strategy, often harnessing anti-elite sentiment, employed by a political entrepreneur with some specific aim, usually electoral, in mind.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:06.585+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "9c69cacd-b760-458a-88c3-2609015fae65", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.05, "x": 0.4, "y": 0.92 }, "kind": "source-note", "text": "Source: Ipsos", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Source note", "slug": "source-note", "status": "active", "canonId": "23484952-494b-4a5e-b1ad-550d0d70e948", "version": 1, "description": "Attribution / source / caveat placed at the slide footer. 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We first developed the index in Latin America in the early 2000s, redeployed the index to the U.S. in 2015, and have been tracking this sentiment globally since 2016. 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Supermajorities in Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, India, the U.S., and the UK believe the government should increase spending on infrastructure, education, healthcare, public safety, create jobs and reduce poverty. 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After a rallying-around period during the pandemic, there has been a steep increase in those who feel the country is in decline, with concerns spanning the economy, public services, and immigration. At the moment, Labour is taking advantage of this time-for-change sentiment but is not backed by a lot of public enthusiasm. 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Here, Trump captures the prevailing zeitgeist as the champion of a broken country. Biden, in contrast, is the quintessential establishment candidate. Which worldview will prevail? Establishment or anti-establishment? We will see.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:10.813+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "adca7c91-0d68-440f-afa2-530305d0d08d", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.22, "w": 0.88, "x": 0.06, "y": 0.28 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Similarly, anti-system governments in Mexico, Indonesia, and India all are attempting to stay in power. To this end, high levels of anti-system sentiment in these countries reinforce such politics. Modi in India, Subianto in Indonesia, and Sheinbaum in Mexico all are favored to win. But elections are more than just attitudinal leanings. Other mechanisms, like the economy, matter. 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The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll where N=1,000 being accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and of where N=500 being accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos' use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:20.057+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "2079cece-7fd8-46fa-a0ee-c46364968a6f", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.43, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.63 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "For information or assistance about this please contact: Emilios Louca, Senior Research Manager, Ipsos Public Affairs +1 (416) 572-4443, emilios.louca@ipsos.com. Nik Samoylov, Director, Ipsos Public Affairs +1 (416) 572-4471, nik.samoylov@ipsos.com. 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For this survey, Ipsos interviewed a total of 20,630 adults aged 18 years and older in India, 18-74 in Canada, Malaysia, South Africa, Turkey, and the United States, 20-74 in Thailand, 21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore, and 16-74 in all other countries.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:20.057+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "66d91860-a91f-48c4-a628-b3f2ab94468c", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.11, "w": 0.43, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.2 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The data is weighted so that the composition of each country’s sample best reflects the demographic profile of the adult population according to the most recent census data. The \"28-country average\" reflects the average result for all the countries and markets in which the survey was conducted. It has not been adjusted to the population size of each country or market and is not intended to suggest a total result.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:20:20.057+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "84f66cb2-c29c-4e3d-a911-14499e19aefa", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.43, "x": 0.04, "y": 0.52 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Samples in Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, and the U.S. can be considered representative of their general adult populations under the age of 75. Samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Thailand, and Turkey are more urban, more educated, and/or more affluent than the general population. 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