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From a demand perspective, it is uncertain when the willingness to pay for green end-products is such that it justifies investments and signed offtake contracts - this despite EU ETS regulation and several targets such as those included in RED. On the supply", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:09.148+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "14e4d797-ba78-4f0c-aed3-d5a09eef24c4", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.12, "w": 0.35, "x": 0.55, "y": 0.68 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "As the example of natural gas shows, if you want to grow into an international hub it helps if you already have a base to start from at home. The Netherlands has that base - with first projects announced for both hydrogen production and consumption - but will need to do more to accelerate those plans into actual and final investment decisions and a real competitive advantage.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:09.148+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "41043335-53cf-4ad1-b5b9-d21bc6a8f1d3", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.35, "x": 0.1, "y": 0.65 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "There is a clear unit cost benefit when building infrastructure at large scale. However, it is too uncertain when the infrastructure can be used at full capacity, and the upfront investment is too high to develop an infrastructure of sufficient size to achieve those benefits. The government will have to step in, as it did before for natural gas infrastructure.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:09.148+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "9dad1779-a5ca-41d4-9bc9-2305dbf819da", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.3, "w": 0.35, "x": 0.55, "y": 0.28 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The government's role will include public investment, but also creating the right conditions such as fast-tracked permitting. Permitting can be sped up by a proactive attitude, competent and sufficient personnel, a flexible design, and a parallel permitting process using digital tooling such as parametric design. This will result in significantly shorter lead times for rework and simplified communication with competent authorities, and will make developing new hydrogen projects faster and cheaper without compromising safety. For an onshore hydrogen network and storage, it seems clear which parties are responsible, but for an offshore hydrogen network and large-scale import infrastructure, the government needs to clarify who will take this responsibility.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:09.148+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "f6442ec4-1d51-47de-8ab3-1d025298f1d3", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.3, "w": 0.35, "x": 0.1, "y": 0.35 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "To become a hydrogen hub, the Netherlands must be ready to accommodate large-scale import, transport and storage when and as (international) supply and demand take off. 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Having such schemes in place would also be an advantage in convincing key upcoming hydrogen production markets on other continents to steer their energy flows towards the Netherlands. Countries such as Germany and Belgium are already embracing such initiatives like H2Global.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:13.39+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "22e4bc5b-127f-4452-957c-bc5f0816d7dc", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.2 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "A hydrogen exchange must be in place that allows the market to not only physically but also virtually connect supply and demand. This will further aid the development of liquidity in the hydrogen market. Gasunie and four Dutch port authorities are currently exploring such an exchange under the name HyXchange.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:13.39+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "519320bb-46ee-427f-883e-85742108f9e4", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.36 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "In addition, a single flat tariff system for the use of infrastructure should be put in place. Private parties would not connect all production, import and consumption, but only parts.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:13.39+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "600cfed5-d7e5-47a7-a5d5-16c35f15b44f", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.1, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.09, "y": 0.32 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "OPEX support for industrial consumers only will likely prove ineffective as there would be limited incentive to enter long-term contracts. In a few years, when the market would be further developed and more liquid, and the costs of production lower, a better deal could be made.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:13.39+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "67d0d1fd-1dec-4427-bf7b-806461071510", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.2, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.09, "y": 0.118 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "side, such long-term supply contracts are essential to make necessary investments. Providing governmental financial support to overcome this chicken and egg problem will unlock significant (private) investments on both sides. Support in the form of only investment subsidies (CAPEX support) will not be sufficient, as the operational cost of renewable or low-carbon hydrogen production is currently simply too high. Operational subsidies (OPEX support) are essential.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:13.39+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "b4123b59-ac16-4fee-9fc0-132fbc0cc3ec", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.46 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "This automatically results in the need for a public hydrogen transport infrastructure with multiple entry and exit points. Especially during the ramp-up of the market, low prices for the use of infrastructure and storage capacity will be crucial, and will accelerate the hydrogen market and thus the Netherlands' competitive advantage in attracting hydrogen import streams.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:13.39+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "e0a9f20e-9183-4443-9ee5-b6e4dbc13fd4", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.09, "y": 0.91 }, "kind": "source-note", "text": "9 https://www.h2-global.de\n10 https://www.gasunie.nl/en/news/creation-hyxchange-hydrogen-exchange-a-step-closer", "attrs": { "numbered": true }, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Source note", "slug": "source-note", "status": "active", "canonId": "23484952-494b-4a5e-b1ad-550d0d70e948", "version": 1, "description": "Attribution / source / caveat placed at the slide footer. 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Any deviations would not end up in the pockets of either producers or consumers, but remain with the government and thus lower the overall cost to society.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:14.999+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "2df780a9-6c87-426b-b61a-fbe46cc6bba7", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.1, "w": 0.41, "x": 0.07, "y": 0.55 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Both options are currently being considered by the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Policy10. 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To do so, different options are outlined in figure D.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:14.999+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "8cc5298f-b9ba-44d5-8e55-e3209d81b6df", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.41, "x": 0.07, "y": 0.68 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "By doing so, it could both guarantee the long-term offtake contracts hydrogen producers need to invest in production capacity, and guarantee the supply hydrogen consumers need to invest in decarbonizing their processes.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:14.999+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "9642f08c-8413-47ee-ac38-c86529110fe0", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.06, "w": 0.41, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.41 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The government will absorb the difference between producer cost and industrial consumer price, but it would likely do that in any support mechanism for either producers or consumers.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:14.999+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "a3d3ee16-21ee-49df-8e6e-976e5c295f17", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.06, "w": 0.41, "x": 0.07, "y": 0.45 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The government can start up the hydrogen market in the short term (without relying on the market) by acting as a market maker or instituting a feed-in tariff (options 1 and 2 in figure D). -> D1/D2", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:14.999+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "c0e79779-c1b5-474c-bfb8-87fa35abbae2", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.1, "w": 0.86, "x": 0.07, "y": 0.18 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Market parties are unlikely to take up the gauntlet, as buying renewable or low-carbon hydrogen at current costs and selling that to industrial consumers at prices they are able to pay will be loss-making for some time (and no one can say for how long). The government must break the chicken and egg deadlock between production and consumption.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:14.999+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "e7934bd3-bbb3-48e9-b432-bab6e1948cc0", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.41, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.61 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Next to organizing auctions, the government might opt to introduce a feed-in tariff. In that case, the government obliges the market to buy the hydrogen from the producers at a feed-in tariff. By doing so, hydrogen producers are ensured of long-term offtake by industrial consumers at a given price. Also, there is no necessity for the government to first have a subsidy mechanism (and budget) in place. Subsidy directly to selected consumer sectors is, however, still an option.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:14.999+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "ef0c2df4-582e-4a91-b1f9-3cc97b0a1646", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.5, "x": 0.07, "y": 0.92 }, "kind": "source-note", "text": "10 https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/documenten/publicaties/2022/06/02/antwerp-beleidsprogramma-klimaat", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Source note", "slug": "source-note", "status": "active", "canonId": "23484952-494b-4a5e-b1ad-550d0d70e948", "version": 1, "description": "Attribution / source / caveat placed at the slide footer. 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Usually there is a cap on the maximum paid (subsidized) amount. In a two-way CfD, the seller has to repay the government at market prices above the strike price. 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This would not do much to speed up the development of a proper market and, if risks in the end do not materialize, would result in high profits for a few competitors rather than a vigorous market with many.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:30:17.079+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "1561ab5e-3bce-4e75-8ea3-4c6e47077b8c", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.38, "x": 0.52, "y": 0.65 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "If the Dutch government is prepared to take up the gauntlet, facilitate the start-up of the market, put in place the key success factors the Netherlands learned from natural gas, and build on its excellent starting position, the Netherlands can become the European renewable or low-carbon hydrogen hub - 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