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Backlash towards immigrants. 59% of people, on average, across the 28 countries polled feel that when jobs are scarce, employers should prioritize hiring people of their country over immigrants.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "List", "slug": "list", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-f94b-779b-a53b-fd4904a5f4d2", "version": 1, "description": "Bullet or numbered list." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Numbered list", "slug": "numbered", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fcc0-7718-a284-a4250c805df2", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "numbered", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:50:56.773+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "3623ff0a-3645-43db-8704-a9ac1eddcc60", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.25, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.35, "y": 0.18 }, "kind": "list", "text": "2. In a huge election year, populism is appealing. An average of 63% across the 28 countries polled feel their country needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "List", "slug": "list", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-f94b-779b-a53b-fd4904a5f4d2", "version": 1, "description": "Bullet or numbered list." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Numbered list", "slug": "numbered", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fcc0-7718-a284-a4250c805df2", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "numbered", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:50:56.773+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "704379d8-93bb-4641-a2e1-6424b01e240e", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.4, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.67, "y": 0.48 }, "kind": "list", "text": "6. Populists want a different government, not a small government. Despite support for anti-establishment politics, an average of 75% of those polled support government spending on healthcare, and 67% support spending on reducing poverty.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "List", "slug": "list", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-f94b-779b-a53b-fd4904a5f4d2", "version": 1, "description": "Bullet or numbered list." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Numbered list", "slug": "numbered", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fcc0-7718-a284-a4250c805df2", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "numbered", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:50:56.773+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "7a483e29-b1cb-485c-8544-2126f26d2fdc", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.25, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.03, "y": 0.18 }, "kind": "list", "text": "1. Potential for Populism. 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Supermajorities in Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, India, the U.S., and the UK believe the government should increase spending on infrastructure, education, healthcare, public safety, create jobs and reduce poverty. 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All these groups are potential scapegoat targets for anti-system, populist leaders. For example, consider “experts.” There are large majorities in Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, India, the U.S., and the UK who view experts in their countries with suspicion. Strong pluralities to majorities in these countries also agree that immigrants should be prohibited from holding a job under certain circumstances. 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This can run the gambit from a breakdown of political norms to violations of constitutional principles, including electoral interference.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:51:05.317+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "6c6f261a-bb68-4c1c-84a1-4faef2c8e27f", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.15, "x": 0.75, "y": 0.8 }, "kind": "source-note", "text": "See slide 26 for details", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Source note", "slug": "source-note", "status": "active", "canonId": "23484952-494b-4a5e-b1ad-550d0d70e948", "version": 1, "description": "Attribution / source / caveat placed at the slide footer. 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But cracks are showing, and anti-establishment sentiment is high. The challenges more than likely will come from within the party. 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To this end, high levels of anti-system sentiment in these countries reinforce such politics. Modi in India, Subianto in Indonesia, and Sheinbaum in Mexico all are favored to win. But elections are more than just attitudinal leanings. Other mechanisms, like the economy, matter. 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Here, Trump captures the prevailing zeitgeist as the champion of a broken country. Biden, in contrast, is the quintessential establishment candidate. Which worldview will prevail? Establishment or anti-establishment? We will see.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:50:58.29+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "86dd6780-97a6-49dc-9147-63497a36e387", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.22, "w": 0.88, "x": 0.06, "y": 0.52 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "In contrast, the UK has a general election later this year. 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Nik Samoylov, Director, Ipsos Public Affairs +1 (416) 572-4471, nik.samoylov@ipsos.com. 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The \"28-country average\" reflects the average result for all the countries and markets in which the survey was conducted. It has not been adjusted to the population size of each country or market and is not intended to suggest a total result.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:51:11.152+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "6a994b70-8698-4c0d-8460-d4233d462cb2", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.43, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.12 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "India’s sample represents a large subset of its urban population — social economic classes A, B and C in metros and tier 1-3 town classes across all four zones.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:51:11.152+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "6eb5afa6-d169-413a-ab94-5a41e58e6489", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.43, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.37 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "When percentages do not sum up to 100 or the ‘difference’ appears to be +/-1 percentage point more/less than the actual result, this may be due to rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” or not stated responses. 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Samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Thailand, and Turkey are more urban, more educated, and/or more affluent than the general population. 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This reflects the average result for all the countries and markets where the survey was conducted. It has not been adjusted to the population size of each country or market and is not intended to suggest a total result.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:51:11.152+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "d66c1b82-9e26-4bc0-ab39-f0ffd2722e31", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.43, "x": 0.51, "y": 0.58 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The publication of these findings abides by local rules and regulations.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 18:51:11.152+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "da63bd7f-e505-4447-a2fe-90be348f7057", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.43, "x": 0.04, "y": 0.16 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "These are the results of a 28-country survey conducted by Ipsos on its Global Advisor online platform and, in India, on its IndiaBus platform, between Friday, November 22 and Friday, December 6, 2023. 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