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GDP growth accelerated to 4.5%, above market estimates; fixed asset investment, housing sales, and new social financing expanded faster in Q1, compared with Q4 2022; however, trade remained weak in Q1.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:19:03.729+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "0a113b5b-9512-4e4a-a107-244c67659afb", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.045, "y": 0.6 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The residential property market started to recover. In the first quarter, sales revenue from housing expanded by 6.0% y-o-y (-27.2% in Q4 2022), mainly due to the rising price of housing (6.3% in Q1 and 3.7% in Q4 2022), while the amount of floor space sold in Q1 was almost unchanged compared with the final quarter of last year (-0.2% in Q1 and -29.8% in Q4 2022).", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:19:03.729+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "34130045-feca-4b8c-b97a-0b5975ca179f", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.34, "y": 0.28 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The surveyed unemployment rate improved to 5.3% in March, 0.3 percentage points lower than February's level. However, the youth unemployment rate climbed to 19.6% in March, 3.6 percentage points higher than last March and 1.5 percentage points higher than February.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:19:03.729+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "5a952319-d57a-4135-9054-4a57f26293d0", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.045, "y": 0.28 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "In the first quarter of 2023, China's GDP reported a stronger-than-expected growth rate of 4.5% y-o-y (2.9% in Q4 2022), with 67% of growth driven by consumption. By sector, GDP growth in the services sector accelerated to 5.4% y-o-y (2.3% in Q4 2022), while GDP growth in the agriculture and industry sectors stabilized at 3.7% and 3.3% y-o-y (4.0% and 3.4% in Q4 2022) respectively.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:19:03.729+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "a20afc7e-3c56-4adf-a852-090cf6c5020a", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.045, "y": 0.44 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Fixed-asset investment grew faster at 5.1% y-o-y in Q1 2023 (3.0% in Q4 2022). By sector, expansion in manufacturing investment stabilized at 7.0% y-o-y (6.8% in Q4 2022); infrastructure investment growth decelerated to 8.8% y-o-y (11.4% in Q4 2022); contraction in real estate investment narrowed to -5.1% y-o-y (-14.2% in Q4 2022).", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:19:03.729+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "a39a50f4-803a-4861-814f-2f0887ecbe7c", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.06, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.34, "y": 0.37 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Cross-border trade remained weak in the first three months of 2023, growing -2.9% y-o-y (-6.8% in Q4 2022). Exports improved in Q1, growing 0.5% y-o-y (-6.9% in Q4 2022); imports continued to slump, growing -7.1% y-o-y (-6.7% in Q4 2022).", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:19:03.729+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "bc229c1f-6757-481a-82ca-d666674a93db", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.1, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.34, "y": 0.17 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "New social financing totaled RMB 14.5 trillion in Q1 2023, an increase of 20.6% y-o-y (-36.1% in Q4 2022), with the majority (95%) of the credit expansion coming from new bank loan financing. 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Demand conditions in India remain sanguine with urban consumption rising and rural demand indicators improving.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:18:59.083+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "648a8305-17e4-446b-b088-f04ee9070366", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.12, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.34, "y": 0.43 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The annual rate of inflation based on the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) for March is 1.34% (versus 3.85% in February). 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March’s exports figure represents a 14% increase over February’s total of $33.8 billion, indicating growth momentum. At $58.11 billion, imports were down –4% from last year’s level (though recovering from February’s $51.3 billion). 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The value of Russia's imports in Q1 2023 was down 3% y-o-y but grew compared to the previous quarter. The recovery observed after last spring's collapse likely reflects higher import prices due to global inflation. As a result, Russia's current account surplus declined to $20bn from $70bn last year. 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GDP growth was the same as in Q3, at 0.5% quarter on quarter. Household spending slowed to 1.8% in Q4 from 2.5% in Q3, likely due to weak sentiment and uncertainty. 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In February, the estimated annual GDP contraction improved slightly to –3.1% from –3.2% in January. In the first two months of 2023, industrial output shrank by 2% on an annual basis, while retail sales volume contracted by 7.2%. 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However, fixed investments and government spending helped avoid a deeper slump. The negative contribution from net trade came as a surprise, given the perceived resilience of commodity exports. Also, the quarterly profile is hard to square with the timing of Western sanctions targeting Russia's commodity exports and Russia's own actions. The data show real exports cratered in Q2 2022, not in H2 when the cuts in Gazprom's exports were deepest.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:19:03.341+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "893f32dc-ddf5-44f6-a928-461b6d697c3b", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.355, "y": 0.53 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "CPI inflation in March fell sharply to 3.5% from double-digit numbers—this stems from base effects, as the March 2022 jump dropped off calculations. Consumer price growth slowed to 0.4% m-o-m from 0.5% the prior month, with core inflation up only 0.1% m-o-m.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:19:03.341+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "a2900ec6-a378-4db0-a8fe-f6bab77077a5", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.355, "y": 0.63 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Unemployment fell to 3.5% in February from 3.6% in January. The labor market tightened due to adverse demographic trends exacerbated by emigration, with the labor supply also influenced by changing migration patterns as immigration from other CIS countries stalled. Estimates suggest 500,000–800,000 Russians left the country after the invasion. Despite the recession, growth in nominal wages has remained brisk. 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