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By sectors, industrial output in the mining sector contracted by -1.2% y-o-y (0.0% in April), while output in the manufacturing sector decelerated to 4.1% (6.5% in April).", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:09.761+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "d1660b4b-236f-44d1-aafa-8fd763b473cc", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.12, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.04, "y": 0.37 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Expansion in fixed-asset investments decelerated to 2.2% y-o-y in May (3.9% in April). By sectors, investments into the manufacturing sector stabilized, growing 5.1% y-o-y (5.3% in April); infrastructure sector investments decelerated to 4.9%.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:09.761+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "ece483bc-4cb7-4680-bef3-93d4cf1ebd7d", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.12, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.04, "y": 0.51 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The real estate market weakened in May. Housing sales growth slowed to 0.5% in May from 16.7% in April, while floor space sold contracted further, down -16.2% y-o-y. 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India reported GDP growth of 6.1%—the highest among the world's major economies—in Q4:2022–23. Manufacturing sector posted net profits; Indian rupee showing stability.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:18.12+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "35042c1a-db1d-4134-8e89-58a2bf81a081", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.045, "y": 0.61 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The purchasing managers' index (PMI) for manufacturing hit a 31-month high in May, remaining solidly in expansion territory at 58.7 (versus 57.2 in April). 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However, May's merchandise exports figure represents a 1% increase over April's total of $34.66 billion. At $57.10 billion, imports were down -7% from last year's level.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:18.12+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "8fd35a5f-0990-4cd0-a02d-d4b0a3fe72e9", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.045, "y": 0.41 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Sales of passenger vehicles in May 2023 reached their highest-ever level for the month of May, returning a y-o-y growth of 13.5% to reach 334,247 units; this represented a m-o-m increase of 1% versus April's level of 331,278.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:18.12+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "a539b0a4-5163-4c10-8af1-ca2257c0959e", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.34, "y": 0.42 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Financial markets witnessed a rise in both the NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex), up by 2.7% and 2.4%, respectively, on a monthly basis (as of June 22). Over this period, the rupee fluctuated slightly against the dollar and the euro. Reserves in the central bank declined to $594 billion.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:18.12+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "ba1b32f6-1bbb-4d93-a777-00e13227a93c", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.045, "y": 0.31 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The key RBI policy rate (repo rate) stands at 6.5% in June and remains unchanged since the prior month. Inflation further slowed in May to 4.3%. While inflation for fuel and light sharply declined to 4.64%, y-o-y food-price inflation was at 3.29% in the month of April.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:18.12+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "c6f3e738-e602-435f-914a-7a62879839eb", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.34, "y": 0.22 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "According to the Centre for Monitoring the Indian Economy, the unemployment rate improved to 7.7% in May (8.5% in April), with the rate observed in urban areas down to 9.1% (9.8% in April); rural unemployment followed a similar trend, falling to a little under 7%.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:18.12+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "e43fe85a-9780-4aeb-9319-997eeedf55a1", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.045, "y": 0.51 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Industrial production m-o-m followed a downward trajectory, with a decline in mining (-20.6%) and manufacturing (-5.4%); however, there was an increase in electricity output (+2.3%). Y-o-y numbers, nevertheless, were positive, with an overall growth of 4.2% compared to April 2022.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:18.12+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "e60e6f23-3a2d-4cc0-9915-7bac7d0de66f", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.08, "w": 0.28, "x": 0.34, "y": 0.32 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The annual rate of inflation based on the India Wholesale Price Index (WPI) for May is -3.48% (versus -0.92% in April). 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The annual rate of contraction was slowed by a stabilizing economy but from an already-weak base in March 2023.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:10.255+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "4e913ae6-c913-4a86-9197-66df5a13cf4f", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.2, "w": 0.31, "x": 0.04, "y": 0.7 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The consensus forecast from May expects GDP to contract by -0.3 % this year. On June 7, the OECD released its forecast, which expects Russian GDP to contract by 1.5 % this year, while the World Bank's outlook from June 6 assumes a fall of -0.2 %. The economy is set to be affected by weak household consumption, shrinking exports, political uncertainty, and sanctions. 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Real disposable household income in Q1 recovered to the level seen in the first quarter of 2022. The decline in real incomes, recorded through the whole of 2023, has been mitigated recently by slowing inflation and strong wage growth. Pressures to increase wages continue due to a tight labor market. Russia's unemployment rate hit a post-Soviet low of 3.5 % in the first quarter. 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Real wages have continued to rise, and the unemployment rate has hit 3.3%. Also, manufacturing showed some signs of recovery in April, with volumes only about 1% below pre-war levels.", "attrs": null, "canon": { "kind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "5f2affc0-941d-4d07-959d-4bfc1930cea4", "version": 1, "description": "Single prose block in the body of a slide." }, "tool": null, "subkind": { "name": "Paragraph", "slug": "paragraph", "status": "active", "canonId": "019de52c-fb80-75af-aa5c-a7a4bfac2433", "version": 1, "description": null }, "framework": null }, "subkind": "paragraph", "groupRole": null, "confidence": null, "extraction": { "at": "2026-05-02 19:23:10.255+00", "model": "google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview-20260303", "runId": null, "seconds": null, "promptVersion": null }, "componentId": "8fda1efe-6422-41b8-a4fb-37aae52c74fc", "parentComponentId": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.25, "w": 0.31, "x": 0.35, "y": 0.17 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Russia's current account surplus, which last year spiked to historical highs, has fallen sharply in recent months. Preliminary estimates from the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) show that the current account surplus for the first four months of this year was around $23 billion, a 77% decline from the year-ago period. The current account surplus has evaporated with the declining value of exports, caused by a drop in oil prices and exported gas volumes. 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